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Earnings Will Do the Sorting

We have a healthier tape developing, but catalysts are still deciding which moves stick. This issue leans into the clearest tests on deck in Chemicals, Parcels, and Energy so evidence, not price alone, sets the tone. Title: Today’s market read Headline: The backdrop is improving, but stock selection still matters. Rows: 01. Market Direction: Improving. The short-term trend is getting healthier, but not everything is confirmed. 02. Market Participation: Fading. Fewer stocks are helping. 03. Strongest Sector: Healthcare. Investors are showing the most interest here right now.

Today’s market read

The backdrop is improving, but stock selection still matters.

01 Market Direction

Improving. The short-term trend is getting healthier, but not everything is confirmed.

02 Market Participation

Fading. Fewer stocks are helping.

03 Strongest Sector

Healthcare. Investors are showing the most interest here right now.

Chemicals: Late July Will Sort the Deck

Key points

  • One-month weakness meets a tight earnings cluster that should separate winners and laggards

  • Huntsman on July 31 is the diversified check on volumes and pricing discipline

  • Tronox on August 6 is the titanium dioxide price and reorder read

  • ASP Isotopes on August 14 is a small-cap demand and cash-runway signal

Chemicals have softened on one-month returns as leadership rotates, and sub-industries are starting to separate ahead of a tight reporting window. Chemicals Split Into Late-July Earnings frames the test for whether this is a narrow reset or something broader.

The setup is specific. Huntsman on July 31 is the diversified volume and pricing gauge. Tronox on August 6 is the titanium dioxide price and reorder read. ASP Isotopes on August 14 is the small-cap demand and cash runway check. The group has already reset into these dates, with Tronox down about 22.9 percent in a month, ASP Isotopes down roughly 41.9 percent, and Huntsman off around 7.4 percent.

What to watch next is straightforward. If Huntsman shows sequential volume growth with at least flat selling prices and some margin lift, and if Tronox points to improving order rates with stable contract pricing, the market can keep sorting within chemicals instead of selling the group. If those marks are missed decisively, weakness risks broadening beyond titanium dioxide and a few small caps. Prices, volumes, inventories, and guidance tone will tell you which path stays live.

UPS: The Sorting-Belt Test for Parcels

Key points

  • Reports July 28 with earnings per share near 1.65 and revenue around 21.7 billion expected

  • Shares are up about 12 percent in a month and sit 10.7 percent above the 50-day trend

  • Expeditors and C.H. Robinson at fresh 252-day highs raise the bar for parcel peers

  • Yields, mix, and costs are the swing variables into the print

Parcel carriers have rallied into reporting while asset-light brokers set a high bar. UPS Earnings Are the Sorting-Belt Test on July 28, with consensus near 1.65 in earnings per share and about 21.7 billion in revenue.

The path to a sturdier rebound is testable. Domestically, pricing needs to hold, shipment mix needs to tilt toward denser business deliveries instead of only home drop-offs, and expense lines need to show cleaner productivity. Shares are up roughly 12 percent over the past month and sit about 10.7 percent above the 50-day trend, so execution has to meet a higher bar.

Context matters. Expeditors International and C.H. Robinson just printed fresh 252-day highs into their own updates, highlighting how far brokers have already run compared with parcel carriers. If United Parcel Service slips on yields, mix, or costs, the brokers’ lead likely persists. If the print is clean on those three items, the divide can narrow.

Equinor: Early Read on Energy’s Bid

Key points

  • July 22 is an early Energy gauge as leadership improves while flows lag

  • Three checks matter most: volumes and realized prices, gas trading, and capital returns

  • Shares trade about 22.5 percent above the 200-day average, which implies confidence but risk if execution wobbles

  • Weak trading or slower buybacks would dent the case

Energy leadership has improved even as fund flows stay uneven, which puts more weight on operations than on price action. Equinor’s Report Will Test the Energy Bid on July 22 and offers a clean dashboard for whether fundamentals can keep the recent strength intact.

The evidence is crisp. Look for upstream volumes and realized prices, the contribution from the European gas marketing and trading arm, and the pace of capital returns. Into the event the stock trades roughly 22.5 percent above its 200-day average, a sign of confidence that also leaves air underneath if execution underwhelms.

Expectations are specific, with earnings per share near 1.39 and revenue around 35.6 billion. A solid read across volumes, pricing, and trading could keep the sector’s quiet recovery on track even without a flow tailwind. Weak trading or slower buybacks would undercut that case.

Calendar watch: Equinor on July 22 sets an early tone for Energy, United Parcel Service on July 28 is the parcel check, and Chemicals start their cluster on July 31. Evidence leads.